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2024-12-14 05:25:41

Chen Guo, China Securities: The 2025 policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in all directions, and the Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Chen Guo, chief strategy officer of China Securities, said that the meeting had seven highlights, including clarifying the growth target and fiscal and monetary policy measures, expanding domestic demand in all directions as the top priority of the policy, focusing on "AI+" in science and technology, focusing on implementation of reform measures, paying attention to coping with external shocks in opening up, strengthening the expression of real estate policies, and increasing efforts to improve people's livelihood. Chen Guo said that further RRR cuts and interest rate cuts from the end of 2024 to 2025 are worth looking forward to, and the easing of the liquidity environment has become a market consensus. However, this does not mean that liquidity is rampant, because the growth of money supply in the scale of social financing still continues the requirement of matching the expected target of the overall price level of economic growth. Chen Guo believes that the 2025 policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in an all-round way, and the strength and direction of the policy are in line with expectations. With the support of policy expectations and liquidity, it is expected that the market will continue to show the characteristics of volatility. From the perspective of investment strategy, Chen Guo suggested focusing on non-bank finance, real estate chain, consumer electronics, machinery, construction, building materials, steel, social services, catering chain and other sectors. In terms of theme, it is suggested to pay attention to investment opportunities such as "duality" and "two innovations", supply-side optimization, new quality productivity, market value management of state-owned enterprises and CSI A500 index.The MSCI Asia Pacific Index fell 1% to 185.63.Consumer stocks of Hong Kong stocks fell, with Budweiser Asia Pacific (01876.HK) and China Resources Beer (00291.HK) falling more than 5%, Nongfu Spring (09633.HK) and Mengniu Dairy (02319.HK) falling 4%, and Li Ning (02331.HK) and Anta Sports (02020.HK) falling more than 3%.


Bank of China Securities Guan Tao: As long as the economy is stable and risks are prevented, the spring of China's capital market can be expected. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Guan Tao, global chief economist of Bank of China Securities, said that the meeting continued the policy thinking since the end of September and emphasized the need to implement more active and promising macro policies. Among them, implementing a more active fiscal policy is an important point to strengthen unconventional countercyclical adjustment. I believe that as long as the economy is stable and risks are prevented, the spring of China's capital market can be expected.The media and game sectors continued to rise, with vision china and Guangdong media having five boards in six days and reading technology in three days and two boards, Fuchun shares, readers' media, Zhewen Internet and celebrities having healthy daily limit, while Kaiying Network, Shengguang Group and Tianlong Group followed suit.Some short-term inter-bank bonds performed brilliantly. The yield of 2-year active bonds "21 interest-bearing bonds 02" went down 5bp to reach 1.1%, which was 11bp upside down from the current 1-year active bonds "24 discount bonds 67" yield of 1.21%.


The concept of robot bottomed out and Tianqi shares rose linearly, and Tianqi shares rose linearly. Before that, the construction industry went out of 9 boards in 10 days, Astar went out of 13 boards in 21 days, and Tongda Power went up. Hanyu Group, Maihe, Jiangsu Reilly, Hanwei Technology and Best were among the top gainers.The real estate sector fluctuated and fell, and many shares such as gemdale fell by more than 5%. Qixia Construction once approached the daily limit, and many shares such as gemdale, Everbright Jiabao, Urban Construction Development, Shoukai Shares and Greenland Holdings fell by more than 5%.Defender said that Li Tie had not decided whether to appeal, and Li Tie's defender was interviewed by CCTV reporters outside the court. Regarding the first-instance judgment that Li Tie was sentenced to 20 years, the defender said that Li Tie had not decided whether to appeal, and he would negotiate with Li Tie again. Regarding the state of Li Tie's trial today, the defender's answer is: calm, peaceful and stable. (Tiantian Sports)

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